Dark Forces - 16 September 2009
First Published Tuesday, 29th September 2009 07:53 am from Fidessa : Fidessa
The opinions expressed by this blogger and those providing comments are theirs alone, this does not reflect the opinion of Automated Trader or any employee thereof. Automated Trader is not responsible for the accuracy of any of the information supplied by this article.
At the beginning of September, BATS Europe announced
further extensions to its inverted pricing model to include FTSE
100 stocks. At the same time NASDAQ OMX Europe extended its
aggressive rebates, too. The LSE's approach to these pricing
pressures was to abandon its own maker taker price list and
revert to its wholesale discount model. This was widely seen as
favouring the big banks and brokerages which can generate high
volumes but was also seen by some observers as potentially
alienating the high frequency boys. This is because these firms
specialise in arbitraging between the different maker taker
discounts by rapidly moving orders from one venue to
another.
At first glance, it looks as if these
observers might be right. BATS narrowly beat Turquoise to third
place for the FTSE 100 trading and NASDAQ's volume across all
indices exceeded a billion Euros for the first time last
week.
Market Share by Venue
href="http://fragmentation.fidessa.com/wp-content/uploads/capita-market-share-by-venue.png">
class="size-medium wp-image-813 alignleft" title="Market Share by
Venue"
src="http://fragmentation.fidessa.com/wp-content/uploads/capita-market-share-by-venue.png"
alt="" width="290" height="140" />
Also for the first time, a FTSE 100
href="http://fragmentation.fidessa.com/stats/stock/CPI.L.html"
target="_blank">Capita Group, has broken through the
3 barrier (FFI 3.06). As with most things, however,
it's never quite that simple. Dig a little deeper and
you can see that nearly 45% of the total volume in Capita was
traded away from lit order books entirely. In fact, just two
trades at Liquidnet accounted for nearly 7% of the entire volume
traded that week in Capita.
Market Share by
Category
href="http://fragmentation.fidessa.com/wp-content/uploads/capita-market-share-by-category1.png">
class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-826" style="border: 0px;"
title="capita-market-share-by-category1"
src="http://fragmentation.fidessa.com/wp-content/uploads/capita-market-share-by-category1.png"
alt="" width="290" height="140" />
So, maybe darker forces are at work
here - it will be interesting to see how it all pans out. The
other question that all this poses is what happens when (and if)
the new alternative venues revert to normal pricing? Moreover,
what is "normal" pricing anyway? Most people agree that one of
the causes of fragmentation was that the primary venues lost the
initiative with the big banks and brokers. I wonder if the high
frequency traders will abandon the MTFs in the same way once all
the pricing games have been played out. What might take their
place? Maybe, as I wrote about last week, we will see a
continuation of the trend whereby market makers or liquidity
providers interact with order flow more directly without the need
for third party venues at all.
One thing that
does seem certain, however, is that everyone needs better
information about what is really happening across lit and dark
trading as the worlds of venues, brokers, market makers and
buy-sides continue to converge through technology.


