Has the LSE turned the corner? – 16 July 2010
First Published Saturday, 17th July 2010 04:39 pm from Fidessa : Fidessa
The opinions expressed by this blogger and those providing comments are theirs alone, this does not reflect the opinion of Automated Trader or any employee thereof. Automated Trader is not responsible for the accuracy of any of the information supplied by this article.
target="_blank">LSE released its quarterly results
which showed a modest increase in Q1 revenue and so it seemed
like a good opportunity to dig a little deeper into its share of
equities trading and see whether it really has turned the corner
in the face of the competitive threat it has faced from the
alternative MTF community.
The chart below
href="http://fragmentation.fidessa.com/stats/exchange/LSE.html"
target="_blank">LSE's market share of the
href="http://fragmentation.fidessa.com/stats/index/UKX.html"
target="_blank">FTSE 100 in the first 6 months of
this year (to be fair, I have also included the lit and dark
href="http://www.tradeturquoise.com"
target="_blank">Turquoise which it acquired at the
end of last year). Also included in the graph are the total title="FTSE 100"
href="http://fragmentation.fidessa.com/stats/index/UKX.html"
target="_blank">FTSE 100 shares traded by both
volume and value over the same period. As you can see the title="LSE"
href="http://fragmentation.fidessa.com/stats/exchange/LSE.html"
target="_blank">LSE's market share of its benchmark
index seems to be flattening out and possibly even coming back a
little bit.
href="http://fragmentation.fidessa.com/wp-content/uploads/FTSE-100-chart-1.png">
class="alignnone size-full wp-image-1267" title="FTSE 100 chart
1"
src="http://fragmentation.fidessa.com/wp-content/uploads/FTSE-100-chart-1.png"
alt="" width="419" height="325" />
This is in stark contrast to the same period last year
when its market share plummeted by nearly 20 percentage
points.
href="http://fragmentation.fidessa.com/wp-content/uploads/FTSE-100-chart-2.png">
class="alignnone size-full wp-image-1268" title="FTSE 100 chart
2"
src="http://fragmentation.fidessa.com/wp-content/uploads/FTSE-100-chart-2.png"
alt="" width="423" height="327" />
So, should we expect the bells to be ringing in
href="http://www.londonstockexchange.com"
target="_blank">LSE celebrates having fought off the
competition from those pesky MTFs? Well, yes and no. Obviously
it's good news that its market share of the title="FTSE 100"
href="http://fragmentation.fidessa.com/stats/index/UKX.html"
target="_blank">FTSE 100 is getting stickier but
href="http://fragmentation.fidessa.com/stats/"
target="_blank">Europe's top twenty most fragmented
stocks are actually now
href="http://fragmentation.fidessa.com/stats/index/MCX.html"
target="_blank">FTSE 250 companies. This shows just
how ubiquitous the whole fragmentation process has now become.
And, just like other primary market centres, the title="LSE" href="http://www.londonstockexchange.com"
target="_blank">LSE is also under pressure over
market data fees and the possibility that
href="http://www.cesr-eu.org/" target="_blank">CESR
may impose a Mandated Consolidated Tape (MCT). If this follows
the US model, then all venues will contribute to the cost, and
share in the subsequent revenues, equally. This is good news if
you're a newcomer to the party but not so good if you've always
enjoyed the lion's share of the market data revenue
cake.
The other dimension to all this is what
happens in Europe as a whole. This point was well made by
href="http://www.fidessa.com/downloads/publishedarticles/pa/MIS-email.asp"
target="_blank">Missoni Tapes which you can download
href="http://www.fidessa.com/downloads/publishedarticles/pa/MIS-email.asp"
target="_blank">here. Alasdair makes the very valid
point that the pan-European picture is becoming increasingly
important as the next front in the battle for liquidity. A quick
href="http://fragmentation.fidessa.com/stats/index/SMI.html"
target="_blank">SMI index or Stockholm's title="OMX S30"
href="http://fragmentation.fidessa.com/stats/index/OMXS30.ST.html"
target="_blank">OMX S30 index only goes to reinforce
this point.
Nevertheless, the title="LSE" href="http://www.londonstockexchange.com"
target="_blank">LSE should be congratulated on the
vigour with which it has responded to the challenges it faced,
and it will be interesting to see how the chart looks in the
first 6 months of 2011 once it has it shiny new title="Millennium Exchange"
href="http://www.londonstockexchange.com/traders-and-brokers/products-services/millennium-exchange/millennium-exchange-migration/millennium-exchange-migration.htm"
target="_blank">Millennium Exchange matching
technology in place.



