Divided we stand, united we fall
First Published Friday, 19th August 2011 02:03 pm from Fidessa : Steve Grob
The opinions expressed by this blogger and those providing comments are theirs alone, this does not reflect the opinion of Automated Trader or any employee thereof. Automated Trader is not responsible for the accuracy of any of the information supplied by this article.
To say that it has been a turbulent time in global
equities markets is something of an understatement, but the
European picture provides some interesting pointers to the bigger
geopolitical debate that's going on. A couple of events in
particular caught my attention. First, there was title="Short-selling confusion"
href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/dcf270ac-c4bc-11e0-9c4d-00144feabdc0.html#axzz1V55vqymo"
target="_blank">the ban on short-selling in banking
stocks imposed by France, Italy, Spain and Belgium and
href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/763a185e-c4e1-11e0-9c4d-00144feabdc0.html#axzz1VNnOWX6o"
target="_blank">backlash that followed. Then came
href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/02f7c644-c98b-11e0-9eb8-00144feabdc0.html#axzz1VSw5cxZe"
target="_blank">France's abortive attempt to extend
the short-selling ban to major European indices. The
initial ban was easy to sidestep as these stocks are now traded
very much on a pan-European basis and so any country-specific ban
just pushes trading onto platforms operated in other countries,
as the chart below illustrates. Traders can still take a negative
position on markets through futures, options and CFDs
too.
href="http://fragmentation.fidessa.com/wp-content/uploads/Credit-Agricole.png">
class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-2840" title="Credit
Agricole"
src="http://fragmentation.fidessa.com/wp-content/uploads/Credit-Agricole.png"
alt="" width="432" height="439" />On top of this was
the chatter coming out of Europe about imposing some sort of
href="http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/08/17/us-tobintax-reax-idUSTRE77G1MK20110817"
target="_blank">Tobin tax on financial transactions.
Again, all this served to do was highlight the possibilities for
regulatory arbitrage. It would be just too tempting for one
European state to create a tax free trading zone and so hoover up
all the available liquidity.
Both of these
events highlight the broader European problem: its member states
must either get closer together or move further apart. The
current debt crises surrounding Greece and other nations seem
unlikely to be permanently resolved until this happens. And,
href="http://www.esma.europa.eu/"
target="_blank">ESMA to either really show its teeth
and impose one set of rules for European trading or leave it to
each country regulator to make its own rules. In both cases the
'getting closer' option imposes some tough
political choices and a requirement to put short-term national
self-interest to one side. The alternative 'go it
alone' strategy looks scarier still, but maybe either
is better than the current status quo.



