Fixed Income Electronic Trading – Let There Be Light

First Published Saturday, 22nd October 2011 02:27 pm from Xand : pcurley

The opinions expressed by this blogger and those providing comments are theirs alone, this does not reflect the opinion of Automated Trader or any employee thereof. Automated Trader is not responsible for the accuracy of any of the information supplied by this article.


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The Last Hold-Out

The fixed income

trading world has been the last hold-out in the broad shift

towards electronic trading and more transparent centralized

trading venues. We've already witnessed the other popular

financial instruments including equities, options, futures, and

currencies, succumb to the inevitable, but fixed income is still

dominated by the murky business of OTC trading. There are signs,

however, that even this asset class has finally reached a

tipping-point, and that we are now on the verge of a new world

where the buy-side's demands for transparency will finally be

realized.

To understand what this future may

look like we must first understand how fixed income trading got

to where it is today.

When Two Sides

Collide

The fixed income trading world has

always been defined by the opposing interests of the buy-side and

the sell-side.

The buy-side has almost

uniformly expressed dissatisfaction at the whole fixed income

trading process. Complaints include a complete lack of

transparency, an inability to obtain reliable price discovery and

market data, the high-cost, and the general inefficiency when

compared to the electronic trading of other asset classes. More

recently there has been intense pressure to include fixed income

in electronic multi-asset trading class strategies.

The sell-side on the other-hand has been highly

motivated to keep things status quo. Over the years fixed income

trading has been a cash cow business for the large Wall Street

dealers. For example, fully 52% of Goldman Sachs' $45 billion

revenue in 2009 came from their fixed income trading division.

The sell-side understands that moving fixed income trading away

from the OTC model to more exchange-like platforms and

Alternative Trading Systems (ATS's) will almost

certainly result in greatly reduced profits. The sell-side in

their defense has argued that the sheer volume (3 million

fixed-income securities and counting) and the inherent complexity

of fixed income products does not lend itself to a more

standardized and centralized market.

Innovation around the Edges

That is

not to say that there has not been innovation or change. Over the

years there have been some key developments

that have allowed the fixed income

trading world to creep towards a more electronic and transparent

marketplace:

1998

- Tradeweb introduces an electronic

request-for-quote-driven multi-dealer platform focused on U.S.

treasury bonds.

2000 -

MarketAxcess introduces an electronic request-for-quote-driven

multi-dealer platform focused on corporate bonds.

2000 - FIX, the

widely-used equity-focused electronic trading protocol, is

expanded to include fixed income features.

2002 - NASD

introduces TRACE (Trade Reporting and Compliance Engine) which

captures and disseminates consolidated fixed income transactions

from the secondary bond market.

On the retail

side we've also seen some innovation with more fixed income

market data becoming available on websites like

"Investinginbonds.com" and "Yahoo! Bond Center".

The Credit-Crisis and the Regulatory

Response

The credit crisis and the

yet-to-be-fully understood regulatory response has upset the

status quo of the fixed income trading world and will result in

the demands of the buy-side finally overwhelming the interests of

the sell-side dealers.

The sell-side lost

billions during the crisis and is already accepting that the

writing is on the wall. In some cases they are not waiting for

regulation and are in the process of downsizing their fixed

income trading businesses. We are also seeing them less willing

to risk their own capital in fixed income trading.

On the regulation front there have been a number of

major initiatives including the Dodd-Frank Wall

Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act and

Europe's MiFID II, both of which

force transparency by mandating that swaps and other derivatives

be traded on exchanges and Swap Execution Facilities (SEFs).

The Volcker Rule will further strike

at dealers by outlawing proprietary trading and tactics such as

the highly profitable 'flow trading'.

The

Electronic and Transparent Future

Perhaps the

biggest advantage of this new fixed income electronic trading

world will be the broad availability of fixed income market data.

As we've seen with other asset classes that have gone through

this electronic transition the availability of accurate market

data will result in the buy-side becoming much more focused on

cost and efficiency. There will be increased interest in

best-execution and over time we will see a more efficient

marketplace.

Another key trend that we can

expect is the 'retailization' of fixed income trading. As fixed

income market data becomes ubiquitous we will see the retail

investor want greater direct involvement in electronic fixed

income trading. This will result in more services, websites, and

even mobile apps aimed exclusively at the retail bond

investor.

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