SNB: To Enforce Sfr FX Cap With 'Utmost Determination'
First Published Thursday, 15th March 2012 02:20 pm - © 2012 MNI News MNI Foreign Exchange Bullet Points delivers real-time commentary in concise bullet point format. Learn more
-- Keeps Three-Month Libor Target Rates At 0.00-0.25% FRANKFURT
(MNI) - The Swiss National Bank will continue to enforce the
minimum exchange rate of Sfr 1.20 per euro with the "utmost
determination" and to target a three-month Libor rate of
0.00-0.25% as the economic outlooks brightens, the central bank
said on Thursday. The bank said "it is prepared to buy foreign
currency in unlimited quantities" and "to take further measures
at any time if the economic outlook and the risk of deflation so
require." The central bank will continue to maintain liquidity on
the money market at an exceptionally high level and keep the
target range for the three-month Libor unchanged at 0.00-0.25%,
but dropped the explicit reference to targeting rates as close to
zero as possible in the month's statement. The SNB reiterated
that even at its current rate the Swiss franc is still high and
is expected to weaken over time. The central bank had introduced
the currency cap on September 6 to counter deflationary pressures
and today further slashed its inflation forecasts. For this year,
forecasts were cut to -0.6% % from -0.3% forecast in December and
to +0.3% from +0.4% for 2013. The first inflation projection for
2014 sees consumer prices rising by 0.6%. "Last summer's
appreciation of the Swiss franc had a stronger dampening effect
on prices than anticipated. In the longer term, inflation will be
lowered by the worsening growth outlook for the euro area and the
continuing high valuation of the Swiss franc," the SNB said.
Recent data suggest that downward pressures might be receding.
Monthly consumer prices changes moved into positive territory in
February for the first time in five months. Pipeline pressures
show import and producer prices have begun rising and the recent
rise in global energy prices has yet to feed trough. The
improving economic outlook may also help to counter downward
price pressures. The SNB raised its 2012 GDP forecast of +0.5% to
"around +1.0%". "While the high value of the Swiss franc
continues to present enormous challenges to the economy, the
minimum exchange rate is having an impact. It has reduced
exchange rate volatility and given business leaders a better
basis for planning," the bank said. At the same time, the SNB
stepped up its warning about growing signs of imbalances on the
Swiss mortgage and real estate market for residential property.
"Should these imbalances increase further, this could lead to
considerable risks to financial stability," it said. The Swiss
government earlier on Thursday hiked its 2012 GDP forecast to
+0.8% from +0.5% and said the economy is likely to have reached
its trough. The Swiss ZEW economic expectations indicator
improved significantly in February for the third consecutive
month, ZEW said Wednesday. The Swiss central bank remained
cautious on the global economic outlook. "The situation on the
financial markets has eased somewhat recently. Uncertainty
remains very high, however. It is unclear whether the advances in
solving the European sovereign debt crisis will succeed in
defusing the situation permanently," it said. "Moreover, there is
a risk that geopolitical tensions will lead to a further rise in
the price of oil." --Frankfurt Bureau tel.: +49-69-720 142,
email: jtreeck@marketnews.com
