UK Politics Comment
First Published Saturday, 11 July 2009 from Need to Know News
The UK prime minister Gordon Brown appears to have beaten off a rebellion against his authority within the ranks of his own Labour party -- and the pound and sterling-denominated instruments may benefit as a result.
Indeed, the old adage that markets hate nothing more than uncertainty is already coming into play. For evidence, look no further than Cable at just under $1.61, comparatively firm when set against some levels seen at the height of the crisis on Monday.
None of this is to suggest that Mr. Brown's problems lie in the past or that the unrest is not real. It is, very.
Many Labour MPs, voters and supporters believe the party is heading for certain defeat in the forthcoming general election which must be held within a year.
Their problem is, if Mr. Brown is toppled, who would or could lead Labour into that election? The two most obvious alternatives -- many would say the only two -- are the deputy party leader Harriet Harman and senior cabinet minister Alan Johnson.
Both, though, have by their actions pledged their loyalty to Mr. Brown -- Ms. Harman by speaking for him and the party, Mr. Johnson by accepting the job as Home Secretary and thus anchoring himself to the government ranks.
It was a previous Labour prime minister, Harold Wilson, who coined the celebrated aphorism that a week is a long time in politics.
If Mr. Brown is now safe until autumn at least, as commentators are suggesting, against that benchmark two or three months must seem like an eternity.
- Citi's Tim Evans on API Petroleum Statistics
"The American Petroleum Institute reported a 0.4 mmbls build in US commercial crude stocks that was on the low end of the range of expectations, with sharply lower imports and somewhat higher crude runs than in the prior week....continued
- Preview: DOE Inventories (w/e March 12th)
Crude inventories are expected to rise 1.3mln following a 1.432mln increase prior Unleaded inventories are expected to drop 1.0mln following a 2.959mln draw prior Distillate inventories are expected to drop 1.5mln following a 2.217mln drop prior Refinery Utilization is expected to rise 0.2% to 80.9%...continued
- Preview: February PPI
...continued
- BOE's Bean...best way to balance competing needs is by "retaining clarity of present remit"
BOE's Bean...best way to balance competing needs is by "retaining clarity of present remit"...continued
- BOE's Bean....'no regulatory regime is perfect'...
...continued
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