US STOCKS VIEW: BoA/Merrill Lynch equity analysts have lowered their 2012 S&P 500 EPS forecast from $104.50 to $103.50 (y-o-y growth rate at 6.0% vs LT trend growth rate of 6%-7%).
First Published Friday, 27th April 2012 11:49 pm - © 2012 MNI News MNI Foreign Exchange Bullet Points delivers real-time commentary in concise bullet point format. Learn more
US STOCKS VIEW: BoA/Merrill Lynch equity analysts have lowered
their 2012 S&P 500 EPS forecast from $104.50 to $103.50
(y-o-y growth rate at 6.0% vs LT trend growth rate of 6%-7%).
"This mostly reflects the pressure on corporate profits from the
collapse in natural gas prices, the stronger dollar and the
ongoing headwinds facing the Financials," they say. BoA/ML's 2013
S&P 500 EPS forecast is now $110.50 (+7% y-o-y) which
compares to "the current bottom-up consensus of $119 (+12% y-o-y)
which we think may be too optimistic," the analysts say. BoA/ML
expects the US to face "headwinds from a combination of
government spending cuts and higher taxes, anemic employment and
income growth and the ongoing slowdown in China." On the plus
side, a "tepid recovery" in the eurozone and "modest growth" in
the US should "continued profit gains for the S&P 500," the
analysts say.
