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Naked Option by Joe Kolman
REGISTERED VIEWERS Dave Ackerman, the narrator of Naked Option, is a brilliant trader but one day, recklessly trying to one-up his firm's superstar, he goes naked on an option trade and loses $112 million in two hours. His career is over. Then he hears about an auditing job read this
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Quote of the Week
FREE ARTICLE London - 1000GMT, 9 May 2008: "It is the job of the algorithmic providers to educate their eventual users, and it is conversely the job of the buy side to understand the tools that are now available to it. It is not algorithms themselves that are old read this
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Auto-Industry Woes Claim 430 More Jobs in Southern Ontario
FREE ARTICLE DDM Plastics, which manufactures parts and molding for the auto industry, is laying off 430 of 518 workers at its Tillsonburg, Ontario plant as of January 1 in the wake of slowing auto sales. The company said it was not expecting such a large cut at th read this
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Preview: Initial Jobless Claims
FREE ARTICLE Initial Jobless Claims for the week ended October 4 are expected at 475k from 497k the previous week. It will likely be the 12th straight week of claims over 400k, the number typically associated with a recession. Continuing Claims are expected at 3.60 read this
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Equities Close
FREE ARTICLE Despite the emergency rate cuts, equities finished lower with Dow futures down 3.6% to 9193, S&P futures falling 2.5% to 980 and Nasdaq futures declining 1.4% to 1319. S&P futures had a volatile day and frequently moved from positive to negativ read this
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City AM's Morning Newspaper Round-Up
FREE ARTICLE Pressure was mounting on Sir Fred Goodwin to resign as chief executive of Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) last night as the bank prepares to tap the Government's £500 billion rescue fund. The Government is thought to be reluctant to consent read this
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In the Markets
FREE ARTICLE * ECB officials say direction of rates is down, growth forecast to be cut * Iceland's biggest bank Kaupthing is nationalized; more fallout seen in UK * European calendar also has UK August trade data, ECB monthly report * US calendar has in read this
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FX Update: NY Outlook
FREE ARTICLE The dollar was mixed in overnight activity, posting gains against the yen, while losing ground to the euro. A moderation in risk aversion weighed on the yen and CHF, as global equity markets largely stabilized on the back of global interest rate cuts. USD read this
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US Opening Comments
FREE ARTICLE US equity indices are higher across the board, reflecting similar strength in Europe, off of better than expected earnings from IBM. US equity markets may be poised for a relief rally following a five consecutive session rout; though lingering market unc read this
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INITIAL CLAIMS 478k IN WEEK ENDED OCTOBER 4; CONTINUING CLAIMS 3.659mln
FREE ARTICLE Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending October 4 totaled 478k, slightly above expectations and 20k below than last week's upwardly revised 498k. Hurricane-related claims receded, contributing only 17k to the total compared to 45k the week prior. read this
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No Need to Rescue Canadian Banks - Flaherty
FREE ARTICLE "We are not looking at a rescue package for banks...We are not looking at creating any additional risk for taxpayers." At this morningâs press conference, ahead of the tomorrow's G7 meeting, Canadian Finance Minister Jim Flaherty read this
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Preview: September Canadian Labour Force Survey
FREE ARTICLE Statistics Canada will release the September Canadian Labour Force Survey tomorrow at 7:00am EDT. The consensus estimate is for a 10k increase in employment following the higher-than-expected 15.2k gain in August. Manufacturing employment will be of in read this
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FX Summary
FREE ARTICLE The dollar moved in a familiar pattern on Thursday, as USD/JPY came under pressure with falling U.S. equities, and EUR/USD slipped on the back of safe haven dollar flows, and EUR/JPY selling. About in-line U.S.weekly jobless claims had little impact, nor read this
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Canadian September Employment Adds Unprecedented 107K on Part-Time, Unemployment Unchanged
FREE ARTICLE Canadian September Employment defied prediction adding a shocking 106.9k jobs for the first time in 32 years following the unexpected 15.2k gain prior and far out-pacing the modest 10k increase expected. However the bulk of the increase was in part-time e read this
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FX Update: Asian Summary
FREE ARTICLE The USD was initially sold at the open of Asian trading on hopes that measures by governments in Europe, the UK, Australia and New Zealand to protect the banking system would bolster fresh risk appetite. EUR/USD rallied to 1.3624 highs as a result with US read this
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In the Markets
FREE ARTICLE * S&P 500 equity futures up 5% in overnight trade; European stock futures also rallied * Fresh banking measures announced by the UK, Europe, Australia and NZ * EZ agreed on bank rescue measures, country specific details to be released * USD r read this
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Frank - financial crisis due to lack of regulation
FREE ARTICLE Failure to regulate subprime mortgages, derivatives caused crisis. CDS and other instruments will be regulated. Urges support for state and local governments because they are one bright spot in jobs picture. Not sure read this
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NY State battening down for higher unemployment
FREE ARTICLE The NY State Comptroller thinks there will be nearly double the estimated job losses due to the financial crisis with numbers now estimated north of 150k lost jobs. The NY Governor has announced that insurance companies are backing off demand read this
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Looking Ahead: NY's Morning Headlines
FREE ARTICLE Stocks Reverse Lower In Higher Volume As Nasdaq Leads Dip From Monday Surge <a href="http://license.icopyright.net/user/viewFreeUse.act?fuid=MTY5OTEyOA== ">IBD</a> http://license.icopyright.net/user/viewFreeUse.act?fuid=MTY5OTEyOA== read this
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Budget Cuts to Hit 10k of UK Public Jobs --Times
FREE ARTICLE Budget cuts in the UK public services sector are leading to the loss of nearly 10,000 jobs, reports the Times. Up to 100 courts may close, alongside the loss of jobs, as the impact of the credit crunch shows its first signs of affecting the public sector. read this
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TEXT: Iceland Central Bank Decision to Cut Rates by 3.5%
FREE ARTICLE <span class="NewsTitle">Board of Governors of the Central Bank of Iceland decides 3.5% policy rate reduction </span> Â The Icelandic economy has been subjected to unprecedented turbulence in the past few weeks. The read this
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Markets Report
FREE ARTICLE European shares were lower at midday as recessionary fears supplanted hopes connected to the global financial market rescue packages. The FTSEurofirst 300 dropped 2.2%. The FTSE 100 was down 2.8%. The DAX slid 2.1%. The CAC was off 2%. Oil-related compani read this
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Preveiw - Initial Claims
FREE ARTICLE Consensus estimates for Initial Jobless Claims are mostly expecting a 7 to 10k improvement over last week's 478k. The reasons given for the hopeful Claims estimates are that the effects of Hurricanes Ike and Gustav have dissipated. read this
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European Equities Summary
FREE ARTICLE European equity indices finished lower across the board for the first time this week, as the reality of downside growth risks facing the European economies combined with very poor data out of the US led to a considerable reduction in risk appetites. The e read this
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Equities Close
FREE ARTICLE Equities tanked significantly into the close with the Dow down 7.9% to 8578, the S&P plunging 9% to 908 and Nasdaq falling 8.5% to 1628. The S&P 500 looked to be consolidating around 950 at lunch but plunged to new lows of 925 as the afternoon read this
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In the Markets
FREE ARTICLE * Stocks plunge; Nikkei down over 10%; S&P 500 futures extend Wed's regular-session loss * Fed's Beige Book: "outlook darkened across all regions amid economic uncertainty" * Fed's Kohn warns that the financial situation read this
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S&P Futures Make New Highs
FREE ARTICLE S&P futures are up 3.5% at 935, edging above the premarket high (just after CPI and Jobless Claims were released). read this
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Preview: September US Leading Economic Index
FREE ARTICLE ⢠The September US Leading Economic Index is expected to fall 0.2% following a 0.5% decrease in August Positive contributions to the Index are likely to include: ⢠A considerable increase in the M2 money supply (e.g. savin read this
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September Canadian Leading Indicators Dip 0.2% Disappointing Expectations
FREE ARTICLE The composite leading index dipped 0.2% in September following a surprising 0.3% gain and below the consensus estimate of 0% change m-o-m. As expected the bulk of the reversal originated with the stock market down 3.1%, followed by US leading Indicator d read this
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Preview: Initial Jobless Claims
FREE ARTICLE ⢠Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending October 19th are expected at 470k following 460k prior ⢠Continuing Claims are expected at 3.75mln following 3.711mln the prior week Initial jobless claims have moderated over th read this
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Equities Close
FREE ARTICLE Equities finished significantly lower with the Dow down 5.7% to 8519, the S&P plunging 6.1% to 897 and Nasdaq falling 4.8% to 1616. The S&P500 plummeted to 913 a half hour into the trading day but spent most of the morning around the 925 level. read this
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MFR's Recap of Yesterday's Market Activity
FREE ARTICLE November 15 has been set for the G20 summit to discuss the financial crisis. It will be hosted by Pres Bush somewhere near Washington, D.C. In this environment, where just today we have seen oil come off another 7%, the CRB off 6% and the USD index up abo read this
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Looking Ahead: NY's Morning Headlines
FREE ARTICLE Stocks Plummet On Earnings, Outlook; Market's Rally Suffers A Crushing Blow <a href="http://license.icopyright.net/user/viewFreeUse.act?fuid=MTc3MTc2Mw== ">IBD</a> http://license.icopyright.net/user/viewFreeUse.act?fuid=MTc3MTc read this
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Preview: UK Retail Sales Seen Down 0.9% m-o-m, up 2% y-o-y
FREE ARTICLE UK retail sales are seen falling 0.9% in September from the month prior, which could push down the year-over-year increase to 2%. Sales in August rose 1.2% month-over-month, and increased 3.3% year-over-year. The UK retail sales report is one of the read this
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Preview: Initial Jobless Claims
FREE ARTICLE Initial Jobless Claims for the week ended October 25 are expected at 475k from 478k the previous week. It will likely be the 15th straight week of claims over 400k, the number typically associated with a recession. Continuing Claims are expected at 3.7 read this
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Equities Close
FREE ARTICLE Equities finished a volatile day mixed with the Dow down 0.8% to 8990, the S&P falling 1.1% to 930 but the Nasdaq rising 0.5% to 1657. S&P futures were quiet in the lead-up the FOMC rate decision, but sold off after the 50bps cut was announced. read this
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German Seas Adj Jobless Total -26,000 in October - Report
FREE ARTICLE Reuters reports citing a source familiar with the data. The official release time is 9 GMT. read this
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FX Update: NY Outlook
FREE ARTICLE The dollar took back some of its sharp Asian session losses in London, though remains well under Wednesday's NY closing levels. EUR/USD made eight day highs near 1.3295 before easing back, while sterling moved a similar magnitude. The commodity b read this
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U.S. Opening Comments
FREE ARTICLE Asian Equity Indices posted gains between 10 to 12% on the heels of a massive Japanese economic stimulus package promising tax cuts, small business help, household mortgage relief among other measures. The Nikkei rallied nearly 10% and JGBs f read this
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Preview: Initial Jobless Claims
FREE ARTICLE Initial Jobless Claims for the week ended October 25 are expected at 475k from 478k the previous week. It will likely be the 15th straight week of claims over 400k, the number typically associated with a recession. Continuing Claims are expected at 3.7 read this
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INTIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS RISE 479K, CONTINUING CLAIMS 3.715mln
FREE ARTICLE Initial Jobless claims for the week ending October 25th came in higher than expected at 479k, following an upwardly revised 479k reading the week prior. Special factors affecting the data were limited this week, while the BLS notes that the rate of hurri read this
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FX Summary
FREE ARTICLE The greenback made steady gains versus the European majors and the dollar bloc in N.Y. trade on Wednesday, though into the end of the week, flows were once again choppy. Month-end interest, including portfolio rebalancing was a feature in morning trade, a read this
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Preview: Q3 Employment Cost Index
FREE ARTICLE <ul> <li>Q3 Employment Cost Index (ECI) is expected to match the Q2 increase of 0.7%</li> </ul> <ul> <li> This would leave year-over-year ECI at 2.9% from 3.1% in Q2</li> </ul> Despite expectations f read this
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Fixed Income Close
FREE ARTICLE Treasuries rose and fell against equities today after advance Q3 GDP came in slightly better than expected and Jobless Claims stayed pat at 479k. TSY sold $24bln of 5yr notes at a 2.8% high rate. In the afternoon, short-end yields dipped on further buy read this
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MFR's Recap of Yesterday's Market Activity
FREE ARTICLE It has been a session of mixed signals. Stocks have been stronger but commodities lower and the VIX still suggesting little change in the âfear factor.â The equity markets in Europe ended still in positive territory. The Dow Jones Stoxx 60 read this
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Q3 EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX RISES 0.7%
FREE ARTICLE The Q3 Employment Cost Index (ECI) rose 0.7%, in line with estimates and against an unrevised 0.7% increase in Q2. Civilian wages and salaries gained 0.7% in Q3, matching the unrevised Q2 increase. Benefit costs for civilian workers increased 0.6% for th read this
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FX Update: Asian Summary
FREE ARTICLE The dollar and yen eased in Asian trading as risk appetite rose on the back of strong Asian stock market gains. Australian and Hong Kong stocks were among the best performing and rallied over 5% with last week's central bank rate cuts, the weekend ra read this
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In the Markets
FREE ARTICLE * 100 bp BoE rate cut seen by a growing numbers; shadow MPC voted for 50 bp cut * EZ October manufacturing PMI expected to be confirmed at 41.3 * European calendar also has U.K. Oct manf PMI, seen at 40.2 (median 39.9) from 41.0 * USD & JPY read this
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Transcontinental Shuts Down Pennsylvania Plants
FREE ARTICLE Montreal-based direct mailer Transcontinental is shutting down one of its US plants. The company announced today it is shutting down its Warminster and Hamburg, Pennsylvania plants, cutting 460 jobs and taking major charges against its earnings. The de read this
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Fears of a Recession, But Plenty of Jobs
FREE ARTICLE While 3 of Canadaâs big banks are predicting a recession in Canada, the nationâs job market still appears to be strong according to a Globe and Mail report. Although hiring in certain sectors such as manufacturing has definitely tapered o read this
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Non-Farm Payrolls expected down for the 10th month in a row
FREE ARTICLE October Non Farm Payrolls are expected to be down 210k following a drop of 159k in September. If the data comes in at -200k, it will be the largest drop in Payrolls since March of 2003 when they were down 212k. The labor market in 2003 reflected a very read this
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M&S Chief: 2009 Will be Difficult
FREE ARTICLE The retailer said it is not planning any major job cuts. read this
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Spain Oct Jobless Claims Up 38% y-o-y
FREE ARTICLE Claims rose 7.3% between September and October. read this
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Canadian Manufacturers Seek Govt. Loan Guarantees
FREE ARTICLE Canadian manufacturers are asking the federal government for ``temporary'' guarantees on loans to creditworthy companies unable to secure financing due to the credit crunch, according to a Financial Post newspaper report. The report cites a lett read this
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Preview: October ISM Non-Manufacturing Index
FREE ARTICLE ⢠The October ISM Non-Manufacturing Index (NMI) is expected to fall to 46 following a 50.2 reading in September The October ISM NMI Index is expected to once again outperform the ISM Manufacturing Index as it did in September, though the N read this
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ADP expect to show 100k job losses tomorrow 8:15am est
FREE ARTICLE The ADP report, always issued 2 days before Non-Farm Payrolls, is expected to show the first sharp downturn in since June 2008 with a 100k job loss. The last time ADP showed job losses over 100k was in November 2002 when they recorded -157k.& read this
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FX Update: Asian Summary
FREE ARTICLE The dollar gained ground in Asia on Wednesday, initially bolstered by profit-taking after Tuesday's USD losses in New York trading. However, USD gains extended after the news that media outlets projected Democratic candidate Obama had won the US pres read this
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PREVIEW: BOE Seen Lowering UK Rates by 50 bps, Bolder Easing Not Ruled Out
FREE ARTICLE Bank of England (BOE) policy makers are expected to trim UK rates by 50 basis points on Thursday, with a growing number of economists entertaining the possibility the bank could be bolder and cut rates by a whole percen read this
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German Cabinet Approves EUR 50bln Growth Package --2
FREE ARTICLE German Economy Ministry Michael Glos said the EUR 50bln economic stimulus plan will be used in 2009 and 2010 to "secure investment in our future and thus valuable jobs." It foresees tax cuts for businesses, increased lending, goverment invest read this
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US Opening Comments
FREE ARTICLE European equity indices are generally lower with the DJ Euro-Stoxx off 1% and the FTSE 100 down 1.3%. Short-term liquidity strains continue to ease with the 3-month USD Libor slipping to 2.51% compared to 4.82% on October 10. US equity indices are also lo read this
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October ADP Employment Expected to Drop 100k
FREE ARTICLE The ADP report, always issued 2 days before Non-Farm Payrolls, is expected to show the first sharp downturn in since June 2008 with a 100k job loss. The last time ADP showed job losses over 100k was in November 2002 when they recorded -157k. Non Farm Pa read this
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Challenger Jobs cuts, at 78.9, is highest since July 2008 then Oct 2001
FREE ARTICLE Non Farm Payrolls in October 2001 fell 292k which corresponds with a Challenger Job Cut figure of over 600%. read this
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Preview: October ISM Non-Manufacturing Index
FREE ARTICLE ⢠The October ISM Non-Manufacturing Index (NMI) is expected to fall to 46 following a 50.2 reading in September The October ISM NMI Index is expected to once again outperform the ISM Manufacturing Index as it did in September, though the read this
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FX Update- AUD
FREE ARTICLE AUD/USD recovered from earlier pull back to trade back in to 0.6940, which marked a rally in excess of 80 pips. Price action remains choppy, with the pair swinging between 0.6840 and 0.7000 since the N.Y. open. Market participants are not seeing significa read this
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Preview: Initial Jobless Claims
FREE ARTICLE Initial Jobless Claims for the week ended November 1 are expected at 475k from 479k the previous week. It will likely be the 16th straight week of claims over 400k, the number typically associated with a recession. Continuing Claims are expected at 3.7 read this
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Equities Close
FREE ARTICLE Equities finished significantly lower with the Dow down 5.1% to 9139, the S&P off 5.3% to 953 and Nasdaq tumbling 5.5% to 1682. The S&P500 formed a double top at the key 1000 level early in the session and proceeded to make lower lows and lower read this
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In the Markets
FREE ARTICLE * ECB expected to cut rates by 50bp and to indicate further downward move in December * BoE seen to cut rates by at least 50bp, possibly 100 bp; to indicate further cuts ahead * UK economy shrank 0.5% in the three months to October according to NI read this
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FX Update: Employment Data Bolsters Aussie
FREE ARTICLE AUD/USD consolidated after volatile overnight trade, the cross is currently trading close to 0.6800 after benefiting from dollar selling during the European morning. A rise in risk aversion added weight on Aussie in Asia, but better than expected Australi read this
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PREVIEW: BOE Seen Lowering UK Rates by 50 bps, But a Bolder Cut Not Ruled Out
FREE ARTICLE Bank of England (BOE) policy makers are expected to trim UK rates by 50 basis points on Thursday, with a growing number of economists entertaining the possibility the bank could be bolder and cut rates by a whole percen read this
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FX Update: NY Outlook
FREE ARTICLE The FX market was relatively steady overnight, as most stayed sidelined ahead of the upcoming policy decisions from the BOE and ECB, where discussion remains not on whether the banks will cut rates, but by how much. On the US calendar preliminary Q3 p read this
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Preview - Initial Jobless Claims
FREE ARTICLE <strong>Initial Jobless Claims</strong> for the week ended November 1 are <strong>expected at 475k </strong>from 479k the previous week. It will likely be the 16th straight week of claims over 400k, the number typically associated read this
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INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS RISE 481K, CONTINUING CLAIMS 3.843MLN
FREE ARTICLE Initial jobless claims for the week ending November 1st came in slightly higher than expected at 481k, a drop of 4k from last week's upwardly revised 485k reading. Special factors were limited, with job losses resulting from hurricane season no longe read this
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ANALYSIS: Bold BOE Cut, But More Needed To Ward Off Recession
FREE ARTICLE The Bank of England's (BOE) decision to cut UK rates by 1.5 percentage points to 3% was a particularly bold move by the generally cautious Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), but more rate cuts are needed -- and expec read this
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FRE: Mortgage Rates Down This Week on Macro Weakness
FREE ARTICLE "Mortgage rates fell this week amid new indications of a pullback in consumer spending and a weaker jobs market," said Frank Nothaft, Freddie Mac vice president and chief economist. read this
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Non-Farm Payrolls - danger ahead
FREE ARTICLE Non Farms Payrolls look likely to tank tomorrow; the market consensus is for jobs losses on the order of 200k but recent data suggests the number could be closer to 300k.  There is virtually no hiring going on in the Home Building read this